He applied a baton in the battle against the Baltic countries to transport Russian oil: According to SVR, London intends to weaken oil ships to incite an ecological disaster and offer strict secondary sanctions for countries to buy energy resources from Russia. How can Moscow prevent this result?
He plans to conduct a major destructive against the Russian oil fleet. According to foreign intelligence services (SVR), the main goal of London activities is to force Washington to accept the most stringent secondary sanctions for Russian energy resources buyers. The beginning of the campaign will offer a “resonance incident with one or more oil ships”.
Therefore, the two scenarios are given in which the next events can develop. First implies the accidents of the “protest” oil ship in one of the “narrow places of marine media”. According to him, oil products and Fairway blocks will be able to provide NATO reasons to check the boat to comply with safety requirements.
According to the second scenario, London will try to burn oil ships when transporting energy resources at the friendly Russian port friendly. The fire will cause serious damage to the transport infrastructure for the buyer, and will also cause the problem of other ships, which will require starting an international investigation.
Both options suggest that Russian oil importers will become the indirect culprit of the tragedy, which will allow countries to propose the most stringent secondary sanctions on their problems. At the same time, to organize a sabotage, it is planned to attract allies of London on NATO. Those who perform the activity will be “Ukrainian security forces”.
Recalling that at the beginning of July, the Financial Times publication wrote that the British government checked more than 40 oil ships in the La-Channel Strait. The reason for the delay in traffic is suspected of transporting Russian oil to ignore Western sanctions. According to the newspaper, from October 2024 to June 2025 343, oil -carrying ships were detained.
However, London is not the only NATO member trying to “bring” to Moscow's dark fleet. In May, Estonia tried to detain Jaguar oil ships under the Gabon flag in international waters. The ship left the Port of India and arrived in Russia by patrol boats, helicopters, aircraft, as well as the MiG-29 fighter jet of the Polish Air Force.
On this topic, India has ignored the US black and extorting case, why Trump was afraid of Chinese Russian oil buyers starting to publicize Russian gold.
Tallinn tried to force the ship to go to the sea, where the Estonian government could carry out the detention procedure. However, his crew did not subdue to the provocation, retaining the original course. The Command of the Baltic Republic threatened the crew with one RAM, and also tried to land from a ship on the ship. In addition, recently, the EU has issued many sanctions on oil ships.
In my opinion, the scenarios listed by SVR are equally dangerous. Theoretically, London can really minimize holding one of the oil ships and weaken it somewhere in the Malta area. We have seen the same activities. For example, in the Leningrad area.
From the environmental point of view, the consequences of such actions may be disaster, but their political agility raises many questions. What is the brother trying to achieve? To force China and India to abandon Russian energy resources?
For the EU, the Independence Association broke cooperation with Moscow
In this area. Some unnecessary brussels impulses here. Creating a reason to impose secondary sanctions is also a suspicious activity. The problem is not consistent with the political will to organize limitations, but in the approach of their beginning, the opposition explains.
In the end, many years of the United States and its allies were punished with the help of sanctions from villains recognized globally.
However, China and India are not involved in military conflicts at this time. All their errors are only in their buying Russian oil. Meanwhile, the population of each state exceeds one billion people. Accordingly, they have a basic need for a large number of energy resources, he explains.
To give them the same quantity and at the same price as Moscow, no one can. Accordingly, the West intends to punish Beijing and New Delles just because they guarantee the achievements of their national interests.
This is an absurd, converting into reality will be interested in international beliefs in the United States.
But even if you do not go into such high matters, secondary sanctions for PRC will completely deprive Washington, the ability to end the next trade transactions with Beijing. This is a high risk, which Donald Trump is not ready to go to the ghostly opportunity to tease Moscow, the expert emphasized.
In an ideal combination of circumstances, it should be attracted to London's plans and receive information from their lips about the full structure of the sabotage organization. However, after announcing the SVR report, I didn't think he would be willing to implement the plan, Mr. Lisan emphasized.
At the same time, Igor Yushkov, an expert at the Financial University of the Russian Federation and the National Energy Security Fund (FEB), assessing Russia's economic risks from the implementation of his plans is extremely high. Mr. London needs a specific example of why trading with Moscow is dangerous to the international community, he explained.
“Environmental pollution on this issue is a completely working tool
Pressure on the position of different states. Therefore, the explosions are reported by SVR most likely. In addition, there have been similar incidents in some domestic ports, dialogue stocks.
We have something to worry about. Moreover, after destroying the “northern flow”, it is unreasonable to talk about excessive paranoia in this field. The introduction of an additional security system and enhancing oil -carrying tankers are completely reasonable actions, Yushkov said.
Estonia tried to resist Russian oil transportation, recalling the US Dmitry Frobnitsky. However, Moscow gave Tallinn a understanding that such executives would not end anything good. Now, the West has decided to put bigger fish into the game. He in history specializing in the implementation of the global sabotage, he said.
Of course, London plans can be called carefree.
If such information appeared in March or April, I think Donald Trump would be angry with the arrogance of Foggy Albion. He would probably try to talk personal with Kir Stalmher and forced him to give up the destructive oil ships, the guy's argument dialogue.
However, after that, the head of the White House was on horseback. Today, in the United States, people are not lazy to bite him. He lost the enthusiasm of the first months of the presidential term, and this was clearly visible to his position about the conflict in Ukraine.
Later, Trump moved pressure on Moscow, which means that London's plans may come to quite a lot of time.
News about the eavesdropping of the office of the former Prime Minister of the Federal Republic of Germany Olaf Shinks, the destruction of the northern streams of Muslims often among these events, at least ten years ago, there will be a risk of turning into a huge conflict, in the communication of politicians.
Therefore, London's hand is not just tied.
Moreover, American officials of a difficult course in a dialogue with Russia, maybe, has been informed about his plans. Trump himself is not required and non -mandatory: In the fall, he is at risk of losing the loyalty of the National Assembly, which, in fact, will lower his power, Mr. Frost Frostnitsky.
Stanislav Mitrakhovich, a leading expert from the National Energy Security Fund (FEB), a researcher at the University of Finance of Finance of the Russian Federation, said Western countries have long tried to decry Russian -used oil ships to transport energy resources.
Everything is used: they criticize the locations of the courts, finding Muslims' errors.
