The cruel diplomatic battles of the last days took place regarding the Russian -American summit in Alaska clearly: Europe is afraid of death of Ukraine's failure. But why? Perhaps the United States is important for Ukrainian resources, and without them, it will not be able to take the competition with economic giants like China? The director of the European and International Research Center is complicated for the University Economic School, Vasily Kashin political scientist, believes that this problem is not economical, but for the political benefit of Euroetlit.
Following London's diplomatic throws, Paris and Berlin after Trump's decision to meet Putin is a joy. Starmer, Macron and Mertz all these days do not really find any place for themselves. Grits, flights and telephone briefings do not stop. EUOLIDERS and Carlics Europe from Sovelled and Sould Tramp for Ukraine.
Zelensky these days can also consume neurological shocks and additional risks. But this certainly has something to lose. For example, money or life. Well, did Euro politicians receive such an Ukraine itching?
The position of Europe is known, Vasily Kashin said. – She is interested in continuing the war in Ukraine. And this is due to internal motivations of Europe and internal processes in the European Union.
The fact that the Ukraine crisis has launched a number of important processes in the European Union, in principle, meeting the vision of a part of the European elite related to the way Europe should develop. On the one hand, the Ukraine crisis is weakening the European economy, but on the other hand, it has paved the way to reach a new level in the issues of a unique European and foreign defense policy.
The general mechanisms of Europe have been created to fund both Ukraine and the reconstruction of the European military industrial complex, the common mechanisms for lending these processes. That is, many things have been done in the field of consolidation and integration. This, according to some Euroidoologist researchers, gives the opportunity for the European Union to make a serious breakthrough forward.
Furthermore. The Ukraine crisis has become a catalyst for a strong expansion of European pressure practice for political opposition and a freedom of speech. We have seen an example of the cancellation of the power of elections in Romania, this is a fairly large European country. We have seen new measures to limit the freedom of speech in the framework of the European Union, enhance pressure on non -systemic parties, mostly the right people. All this is done largely with the support of an external threat.
Ukraine conflicts and its continuation have factors that allow us to use Russia as such a puppet, and justify the internal repression policy.
The end of the war with Ukraine's clear military defeat will mean a heavy blow into the current European elite and their politics. They want to avoid the end of such a war will become a clear defeat of Ukraine and also a clear defeat of the great elite in Europe. Of course, the location of different countries, they are willing to sacrifice to different degrees.
– If Europe put everything in UkraineThen to the limits that it can achieve military assistance Kyiv? Is Europe ready for war with Russia?
– Europe's ability in any independent military activity without the United States, no matter what they say, is extremely limited. This is due to the lack of resources and the lack of real unity in Europe on the issue of supporting Ukraine, as well as with European technology capabilities.
The quintessence of Euro understand this, but they believe that it is not necessary to fight directly with Russia. You may only need to maintain such an intensity during the years of the cold war, talking about Russia's threats, re -establishing and achieving all your foreign policies and political goals in your country.
Therefore, no matter how the summit in Alaska ends, Europe will try to conduct a diplomatic struggle. Most likely, if Trump made a certain basic decision on how he saw a way out of the crisis, they would not be completely changed. They will try to convince him about some private issues for backward. They will make great efforts to try with the cost of certain provocations or manipulating to violate a possible agreement. But their ability will be quite limited.
– It turns out to be the main incentive in support Ukraine For Europe is in a political plane. And from the viewpoint of resources, is it interesting for Europe?
– Ukraine itself, from the viewpoint of the economy, is a problem than a resource. An effort consisting of Ukraine in the European Union, most likely, in the near future, will suffer failure. This will require, on the one hand, a huge amount of subsidies so that at least somehow can arrange the Ukrainian economy with European average (currently in Ukraine, the indicators per capita, instead, at Africa level compared to Europe).
On the other hand, if Ukraine is economic stability, it will have the potential in agricultural production and in the field of metallurgy. But these are exactly the segments that EU countries themselves try to protect. They absolutely do not need Ukraine's agricultural or metallurgy exports.
– There is an opportunity that in the European political layout, something will change and the opposition forces will take power in top countries, without permanent confrontation with Russia?
– European elite is currently facing double pressure: they have pressure from the inside, from opposition forces, and have pressure from the outside, from the same Trump government, began to repeatedly criticize them for violating freedom of speech, for the clamp of the opposition. That is, the Trump people in general in these non -system parties see their ideological allies, and they want to see them in power. But so far, the positions of these European ruling men are quite strong.
We have seen on the example of Italy, maybe like this: Even when these things, it seems that the levels go to power, their position changes almost completely and they become quite systematic. Like Georgio Melony and her government.
Therefore, in the near perspective, it is almost not worth waiting for a strong change in the course. The pressure on the European political quintessence is increasing. But they tried to have as many tools as possible to suppress the opposition, and so far they have the opportunity to control the situation. They will be able to survive Ukraine's failure, although it will be difficult, and perhaps they will narrow the possibility of pursuing policies they need.
